- Credit rating reflects the probability of default and prompts the credit risk and conditions of a rated entity or debt issue
- Issuers with equal ratings may have similar but not identical credit worthiness and strength
- Credit rating is not a recommendation for investors to buy, sell, or hold debt securities, nor a measurement of market value of the rated entity or the rated debt issue
- Credit rating contains the concept of expected loss
- Credit rating is a professional opinion on the credit worthiness only; it should not be regarded as the only reference for an investment decision
- Debt issues of the same credit rating do not imply absolute equal credit worthiness
- Credit rating reveals and ranks specific risks, but does not cover all risks embedded in the rated entity or the rated debt issue
- Credit rating does not indicate the specific tolerance level for any investor
- Credit rating is a forward-looking opinion on the creditworthiness of a rated entity or a debt issue. The higher the credit rating of a rated entity or debt issue, the better is its creditworthiness.
- Creditworthiness is measured multi-dimensionally into multi-levels; therefore, there is no single straightforward formula for the comprehensive analysis of risk factors.
- Probability of default, the core meaning of a credit rating, is dependent on the capacity and willingness of a rated entity to meet its financial obligations on time.
- Ranking of a debt issue, credit outlook, and recoverable ability (after an event of default) are the key determinants of a credit rating.
- In the event of a severe economic crisis, a rated entity with a higher credit rating can have a stronger capacity to endure adverse economic conditions to a larger extent, whereas a lower rating implies a weaker capacity to endure severe economic adversity.
A long-term credit rating refers to a rating for a period of more than 12 months.
Rating Symbol | Definition |
---|---|
AAAg |
Capacity to meet commitments on short-term and long-term debts is extremely strong. Business is operated in a virtuous circle. The foreseeable uncertainty on business operations is minimal. |
AAg+ AAg AAg- |
Capacity to meet short-term and long-term financial commitments is very strong. Business is operated in a virtuous circle. Foreseeable uncertainty in business operations is relatively low . |
Ag+ Ag Ag- |
Capacity to meet short-term and long-term commitments is strong. Business is operated in a virtuous circle. Business operation and development may be affected by internal uncertain factors, which may create fluctuations in profitability and solvency of the issuer. |
BBBg+ BBBg BBBg- |
Capacity to meet financial commitment is considered adequate and capacity to meet short-term and long-term commitments is satisfactory. Business is operated in a virtuous circle. Business is affected by internal and external uncertainties. Profitability and solvency may experience significant fluctuation. Principal and interest may not be sufficiently protected by the terms of agreement. |
BBg+ BBg BBg- |
Capacity to meet short-term and long-term financial commitment is relatively weak. Financial commitment towards short-term and long-term debts is below average. Status of business operations and development is not good. Solvency is unstable and subject to sustainable risk. |
Bg+ Bg Bg- |
Financial commitment towards short-term and long-term debts is bad. Business is affected by internal and external uncertain factors. There are difficulties in business operations. Solvency is uncertain and subject to high credit risk. |
CCCg |
Financial commitment towards short-term and long-term debts is very bad. Business is affected by internal and external uncertain factors. There are difficulties in business operations. Poor solvency with very high credit risk. |
CCg |
Financial commitment towards short-term and long-term debts is extremely bad. Business operations are poor. There are very limited positive internal and external factors to support business operation and development. Extremely high credit risk is found. |
Cg |
Financial commitment towards short-term and long-term debts is insolvent. Business falls into a vicious circle. Very limited positive internal and external factors are found to support business operations and development in positive cycle. Extremely high credit risk is seen and is near default. |
Dg |
Unable to meet financial commitments. Default is confirmed. |
Positive |
Indicates a rating with an ascending trend |
Negative |
Indicates a rating with a descending trend |
Stable |
Indicates the rating is likely to be stable |
Developing |
Indicates a rating may be raised, lowered or affirmed |
Ratings are placed on rating watch when there is a potential, but not guaranteed, change of rating/outlook in the near term. A rating watch is typically event-driven, which the implications of unexpected event could not be determined immediately and additional information is required for further analysis. There are three types of rating watch:
- Positive indicates a rating may be raised;
- Negative indicates a rating may be lowered;
- Developing indicates a rating may be raised, lowered or affirmed.
A short-term credit rating refers to a rating for a period of less than 12 months.
Rating Symbol | Definition |
---|---|
Ag-1 |
Capacity to meet short-term financial commitments is extremely strong with a high level of safety. |
Ag-2 |
Capacity to meet short-term financial commitments is strong with a high level of safety. |
Ag-3 |
Capacity to meet short-term financial commitments is average but the safety may be easily affected by adverse business, financial, or economic conditions. |
Bg |
Capacity to meet short-term financial commitments is weak with a high probability of default. |
Cg |
Capacity to meet short-term financial commitments is very weak and the probability of default is very high. |
Dg |
Unable to meet financial commitments. Default is confirmed. |
CCXAP’s long-term credit ratings can be mapped with the short-term credit ratings, as follows:
Long-term Credit Ratings | Short-term Credit Ratings |
---|---|
AAAg |
Ag-1 |
AAg+ |
Ag-1 |
AAg |
Ag-1 |
AAg- |
Ag-1 |
Ag+ |
Ag-1 |
Ag |
Ag-1 or Ag-2 |
Ag- |
Ag-1 or Ag-2 |
BBBg+ |
Ag-2 |
BBBg |
Ag-2 |
BBBg- |
Ag-3 |
BBg+ |
Ag-3 or Bg |
BBg |
Bg |
BBg- |
Bg |
Bg+ |
Bg |
Bg |
Bg |
Bg- |
Bg |
CCCg |
Cg |
CCg |
Cg |
Cg |
Cg |
In order to distinguish from other ratings, the “sf” subscript is assigned to all structured finance instruments or obligors rated by CCXAP (For example: sfAAAg). The addition of a subscript does not change the definition of CCXAP’s credit-rating symbols.
CCXAP's definition of default includes the following events:
- missed or delayed interest or principal payment (unless such payment will be made within agreed grace period);
- distressed debt exchange on financial obligation with a new or restructured debt, a package of securities, or other assets; or
- bankruptcy filings, administration, receivership, liquidation or other formal winding-up procedures.
CCXAP may withdraw or suspend a credit rating of a rated entity or rated target at any time on its sole judgment. CCXAP determines the timing of the withdrawal or suspension of a credit rating and the issuance of related notices.
CCXAP may withdraw a credit rating at the request of a rated entity under certain situations, but it will not be done at the request of the rated entity if it is to avoid an impending change of credit rating.